By Douglas S. Massey
It's no secret that the U.S. immigration system
is badly broken. Indeed, it has been broken since
1986 and is getting worse. Rep. Steve King (R-Iowa)
has proposed building a fence along the entire border
with Mexico. President Bush, speaking this week in
Arizona, emphasized the need to choke off the flow
of illegal immigrants, stating that "illegal immigration's
a serious challenge, and our responsibility is clear.
We are going to protect the border."
Unfortunately, unilateral attempts to close the border won't solve the
problem of undocumented immigrants. They will only make it worse. The central
problem concerns the relationship between Mexico and the United States.
After Canada, Mexico is our largest trading partner. We share a border
of almost 2,000 miles with Mexico, and trade that totals $286 billion a year.
The movement of goods and services is accompanied by the movement of people.
In 2004 some 175,000 legal immigrants arrived from Mexico, along with 3.8 million
visitors for pleasure, 433,000 business visitors, 118,000 temporary workers,
25,000 intra-company transferees, 29,000 students and exchange visitors, and
6,200 traders and investors. At the same time, 1 million Americans live in Mexico
and 19 million travel there each year as visitors. U.S. foreign direct investment
in Mexico totals $62 billion annually.
These massive cross-border flows occur by design, under the auspices of
the North American Free Trade Agreement. But at the heart of NAFTA lies a contradiction:
Even as the United States moves to promote free movement of goods, services,
capital and information, we as a nation somehow seek to prevent the movement
of labor. We wish to create a North American economy that integrates all markets
except one: that for labor.
To maintain the illusion that we can somehow integrate and still remain
separate, the United States has militarized its border with a friendly country
that poses no conceivable threat to U.S. national security. Even as binational
trade with Mexico grew eightfold from 1986 to the present, the Border Patrol's
enforcement budget increased tenfold. The Border Patrol is now the largest arms-bearing
branch of the federal government save the military itself, with an annual budget
exceeding $1.4 billion.
But our attempts to stop the flow of Mexican workers into the United States
through unilateral enforcement have not only failed miserably, they have backfired.
Heightened border enforcement has not deterred would-be immigrants from entering
the United States, nor has it reduced the size of the annual inflow. What it
has done is channel migrants away from traditional crossing points to remote
areas where the physical risks are great but the likelihood of getting caught
is small. As a result, the number of deaths has risen to around 460 people a
year while the probability of apprehension has fallen from a historical average
of around 33 percent to around 10 percent.
We are spending more tax dollars to catch fewer migrants and cause more
deaths, and once they are deflected from traditional crossing points, Mexicans
have moved on to new destinations. Whereas two-thirds of Mexicans who came to
the United States during 1985-90 went to California, in the past five years only
one-third have done so. Our misplaced border policies have transformed what was
a limited regional movement affecting three states into a mass migration to 50
states.
U.S. policies have also pushed Mexican migrants away from seasonal movement
toward permanent settlement. Raising the costs and risks of undocumented entry
has not deterred would-be migrants from coming.
Paradoxically, it has discouraged them from going home once they are here.
Having faced the hazards of border crossing, undocumented migrants are loath
to do so again, and instead they hunker down for the long term. As migrants stay
away from home longer, they increasingly send for spouses and children.
Rather than remaining a circular flow of temporary
male workers, migration from Mexico to the United
States has produced a settled population of permanent
residents and families, driving up immigration's
social and economic costs to American taxpayers.
Instead of attempting to stop the cross-border movement of workers through
unilateral police actions, we should bring these flows of people above board,
legalize them and manage them in ways that minimize the costs and maximize the
benefits for all concerned.
Instead of viewing Mexican migration as a pathological product of rampant
poverty and rapid population growth, we should see it for what it is: a natural
byproduct of economic development in a relatively wealthy country undergoing
a rapid transition to low fertility in close association with the United States.
Mexico has a trillion-dollar economy, with per capita income approaching $10,000;
a 92 percent literacy rate; a total fertility rate of 2.2 children per woman;
and population growth of just 1.2 percent per year.
Seeking to manage immigration rather than repress it would put policymakers
in a better position to protect U.S. workers, lower the costs of immigration
to taxpayers and enhance the security of American citizens.
The
writer is a professor of sociology and public affairs
at Princeton University and co-author of the book "Beyond
Smoke and Mirrors: Mexican Immigration in an
Age of Economic Integration."